January 22 Analysis
Time for a quick peek at what I’ve been focusing my trading energy on over the past few weeks. I’ve shifted my scalping approach to the 4 hour charts. Something new I’m trying is just printing out my charts and scribbling notes on them. It actually feels completely different drawing trend line with a ruler and making notes in my illegal scrawl then plotting things in a charting package. I’ve found it surprisingly refreshing and useful.
The three main ingredients that make up the way I’m trading this approach are: Al Brook’s price action setups, the experience gleening from my scalping attempts and some ideas from Jennifer’s year end report (she blogs on Rob Booker’s Piptoring site).
The bare bones of the approach I’m testing is to look for price action setups on 4h charts. I knew this would require looking at multiple currency pairs but since I had no real preference for which ones to look at I just went with the same list that Jennifer uses to start with: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. USD/CAD, NZD/JPY, GBP/CAD and CAD/CHF.
Since I also want to be in and out of the market relatively quickly, I’m shooting for 40 pips as a profit target, with a maximum/disaster stop loss of 80 pips; although anything beyond 40 pips in the red has me looking to pull the plug if I’m watching the trade in real time. I’m using gearing of around 5:1, which results in a 2% gain for a full 40 pip win and a maximum loss of 4% if my 80 pip stop loss is hit.
I’m also plowing my way through Al Brook’s new three part series of books on price action. While I’m only about 150 pages into the first book in the series (after about 4 weeks of intermittent reading), I feel the quality of these books is going to be priceless. If you got value out of his earlier book, Reading Price Charts Bar by Bar, then I would heartily recommend that you pick these up too. The writing is clearer and not quite as densely packed with information. What hasn’t changed is the amount of time you’ll spend pouring over the charts digesting every piece of price action information that Al is able to glean from a chart. And there are a lot of charts.
My first trade with this method was on January 6. Progress to date has been a little bit rockier that I would like. My first six trades over the first week had me at -3.3%. I then turned what could have been a 6% gain on January 12 into a 6.3% loss by getting impulsive and jumping into two trades on the spur of the moment. That bugbear still bits me in the ass sometimes.
Staring at a 10% loss for my first two weeks of effort I got laser focused and managed to churn out 4 good wins last week. Which has me standing with a -1.8% loss overall for the month. I was reminded of Don Miller saying how he always seems to trade best when getting himself out of a sizable drawdown. Not wanting to see that drawdown get any bigger certainly had me crush any impulsive notions and focus on only taking trades that made total sense to me.
I thought it would be useful to record my pen and paper notes so I’ve scanned them in and put them into an image gallery below.
Related Posts:
- January 2012 Review
- 27 January Weekly Review
- Performance analysis
- Back in the saddle (again)
- January 2008 Review
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Comment from Yick
Time 2012-01-24 at 01:42
Hi there Colin.
I used to be in the BWILC mentoring programme in 2008 which I think was just after yourself.
I was interested to see that you are revisiting price action setups as that is where my “home” is also these days. H4 charts are also my own time frame of preference, as it happens.
You may be interested in reading my recent experiences on my blog – Yicktrader.com – which also has details of a mentoring website of which I’m currently a member.
Best wishes with your H4 PA trading – I’ll check out your progress from time to time …
Regards,
John